Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 18

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de San Felipe (San Felipe)


	Unión San Felipe		Deportes Temuco

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.85
	2.3	3.15	2.98
	2.23	3.27	3.21
	2.33	3.25	3.01	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.33	3.14	2.98	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.55)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)	2.98 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión San Felipe
39.9%

Draw
29.3%

Deportes Temuco
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.1%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

28.1%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Deportes Temuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Temuco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Temuco than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Temuco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unión San Felipe - Deportes Temuco Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Deportes Temuco (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Temuco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Garces P. (G) 23. Gonzalez Y. 8. Ferrari J. 2. Monteseirin F. 16. Navarro P. 31. Herrera H. 6. Gonzalez B. 26. Rodriguez P. 7. Vergara S. 34. Cuellar D. 17. Alvarez V.	1. Garrido J. (G) 31. Magnasco S. 4. Pereyra F. 20. Lavin V. 8. Troncoso B. 27. Nunez C. 21. Villagran 29. Velasquez J. 30. Buonanotte D. 9. Acevedo L. 16. Riveros R.
Substitutes
21. Alfonso M. 14. Cordova J. 1. Fuentes C. (G) 19. Gonzalez D. 33. Lopes Acevedo M. 20. Mella J. 11. Riveros B.	6. Contreras P. . Donoso M. 15. Escobar B. 5. Lettieri E. 18. Neculhueque L. 2. Penailillo A. 11. Reynero F. 13. Urra Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Cuellar D. ⚽,
14', Nunez C. 🟨,
29', Cuellar D. 🟨,
31', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
43', Magnasco S. 🟨,
45+2', Villagran 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Alvarez V. ↓, Riveros B. ↑,
60', Cuellar D. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
68', Garrido J. 🟥,
73', Acevedo L. ↓, Donoso M. ↑,
81', Riveros R. ↓, Escobar B. ↑,
84', Vergara S. ↓, Lopes Acevedo M. ↑,
90', Garces P. 🟨,
90+9', Rodriguez P. ↓, Alfonso M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión San Felipe won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión San Felipe
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
21.07.25	Santiago Wanderers - Unión San Felipe	1:3 ✺
12.07.25	Unión San Felipe - Cobreloa	3:0 ✺
20.06.25	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Santiago Morning - Unión San Felipe	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Unión San Felipe - San Marcos de Arica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWWLL
- Deportes Temuco
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
20.07.25	Deportes Temuco - Santiago Morning	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Temuco	2:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
01.07.25	Audax Italiano - Deportes Temuco	2:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
20.06.25	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Temuco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
08.03.25	Deportes Temuco - Unión San Felipe	2:1
24.08.24	Deportes Temuco - Unión San Felipe	4:0
14.04.24	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Temuco	2:3
20.08.23	Deportes Temuco - Unión San Felipe	2:1
16.04.23	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Temuco	1:1
06.09.22	Deportes Temuco - Unión San Felipe	1:0
21.04.22	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Temuco	0:0

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