Match Info

League Two - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)

Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)


	Barnet		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.95
	2.12	3.55	3.05	Watch
	2.19	3.73	3.12
	1.28	4.81	11.45	Watch
	2.21	3.51	3.01	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.21)	3.76 ↑ (3.58)	4.21 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
49.2%

Draw
26.8%

Grimsby Town
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

26.1%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

25.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnet's performance.

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grimsby Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grimsby Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Barnet - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Grimsby (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Slicker C. (G) 4. Collinge D. (C) 23. Smith K. 25. Tavares N. 5. Senior A. 28. Ofoborh N. 11. Kanu I. 10. Stead C. 19. Shelton M. 15. Glover R. 9. Ndlovu L.	1. Pym C. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 21. Warren T. 17. McJannett C. (C) 16. Staunton R. 20. McEachran G. 14. Amaluzor J. 7. Walker J. 8. Khouri E. 30. Vernam C. 9. Kabia J.
Substitutes
35. Adeniran D. 13. Evans O. (G) 3. Galvin R. 18. Hartigan A. 12. Hawkins O. 6. Osadebe E. 14. Stutter R.	23. Brown H. 18. Burns D. 33. Casper C. (G) 29. Oduor C. 10. Soonsup-Bell J. 3. Sweeney J. 15. Turi G. D.
Coaches
Brennan D.	Artell D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Collinge D. 🟨,
28', Shelton M. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Ofoborh N. ⚽, Shelton M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', 2 - 0, Ndlovu L. ⚽, Kanu I. (A),
65', Kabia J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
65', Walker J. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Ofoborh N. ⚽, Smith K. (A),
73', Khouri E. ↓, Turi G. D. ↑,
74', Vernam C. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
77', Glover R. ↓, Osadebe E. ↑,
78', Staunton R. ↓, Sweeney J. ↑,
80', Stead C. ↓, Stutter R. ↑,
81', Ndlovu L. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
81', Smith K. ↓, Galvin R. ↑,
86', Shelton M. ↓, Adeniran D. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Barnet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Inactive) Gilsenan Z. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Calf Injury) Svanthorsson J. (Knee Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Grimsby: Rose D. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Barnet - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Grimsby Town - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.68%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English League Two
13.09.25	Crewe Alexandra - Barnet	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Barnet - Shrewsbury Town	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Luton Town - Barnet	4:1 ✺
English League Two
30.08.25	Barnet - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Cheltenham Town - Barnet	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLTW
- Grimsby Town
English League Cup
16.09.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Grimsby Town	0:1 ✺
English League Two
13.09.25	Grimsby Town - Cambridge United	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Bradford City - Grimsby Town	2:1 ✺
English League Two
30.08.25	Grimsby Town - Bristol Rovers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
30.04.22	Barnet - Grimsby Town	2:2
04.09.21	Grimsby Town - Barnet	4:3
English League Two
14.04.18	Grimsby Town - Barnet	2:2
25.11.17	Barnet - Grimsby Town	0:2
29.04.17	Barnet - Grimsby Town	3:1
12.11.16	Grimsby Town - Barnet	2:2
English National League
21.02.15	Barnet - Grimsby Town	1:3

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