The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 37.3%
Draw 28.1%
Barnet 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.2%
26.9%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
26.8%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Crewe Alexandra aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
9.1%
9.1%
Crewe Alexandra - Barnet Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Barnet will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 59% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Crewe (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crewe Alexandra will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Crewe (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Booth T. (G) 2. Billington L. 18. Connolly J. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 3. Hutchinson R. 26. O'Reilly T. 6. Sanders M. H. 19. Lunt O. 17. Holicek M. 24. March J. 20. Anderton N.
29. Slicker C. (G) 4. Collinge D. 23. Smith K. 5. Senior A. 11. Kanu I. 25. Tavares N. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 15. Glover R. 19. Shelton M. 9. Ndlovu L. 10. Stead C.
Substitutes
14. Finney C. 16. Golding J. 4. Mingi J. J. 31. Moult L. 15. Rankine D. 36. Tezgel E. 13. Waller S. (G)
35. Adeniran D. 16. Currie M. (G) 13. Evans O. (G) 3. Galvin R. 12. Hawkins O. 28. Ofoborh N. 14. Stutter R.
Coaches
Bell L.
Brennan D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Hartigan A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 1 - 0, O'Reilly T. ⚽, Agius C. (A),
57', 1 - 1, Ndlovu L. ⚽, Senior A. (A),
60', Hartigan A. ↓, Ofoborh N. ↑,
61', March J. (Pen),
68', Holicek M. ↓, Golding J. ↑,
70', Collinge D. 🟨,
71', Sanders M. H. (Pen),
72', 🟨,
75', Billington L. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
77', Ndlovu L. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Glover R. ⚽,
83', Lunt O. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
84', Kanu I. ↓, Winterburn B. ↑,
86', Senior A. 🟨,
87', Shelton M. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E.
(Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Crewe Alexandra - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.2%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.