Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 2d 21h 📅 Remind Me


	Grimsby Town		York City

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.60	2.65
	2.20	3.50	2.60
	2.40	3.35	2.60
	2.34	3.89	2.70
	2.33	3.63	2.68	Watch
	2.25	3.70	2.60
	2.30	3.60	2.72	Watch
	2.19	3.55	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.26)	3.6 ↑ (3.59)	2.66 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
40.2%

Draw
25.4%

York City
34.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

25.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

26.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Grimsby Town - York City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th and 5th in the Promotion - League Two Playoffs - Semi - finals).

Grimsby is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

York is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, York has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Grimsby has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.3:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Grimsby against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals (averaging 0:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	York City	13	5	5	3	22:16	6	20
11	Grimsby	13	4	5	4	19:16	3	17

Outrights of English League Two for now

York City: 10.95% Grimsby: 6.5%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
24.10.26	Gillingham - Grimsby Town	1:4 ✺
20.10.26	Rochdale - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
17.10.26	Grimsby Town - Northampton Town	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Port Vale - Grimsby Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.26	Grimsby Town - Burton Albion	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLLL
- York City
English League Two
27.10.26	Barnet - York City	3:1 ✺
24.10.26	York City - Port Vale	2:0 ✺
20.10.26	York City - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
17.10.26	Newport County - York City	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	York City - Northampton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.24	York City - Grimsby Town	2:1
English National League
13.03.12	Grimsby Town - York City	N/A

Grimsby Town - York City