Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 16

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.75
	4.5	3.65	1.67
	3.95	3.5	1.8
	4.45	3.51	1.81
	3.8	3.3	1.83
	4.45	3.62	1.76
	3.95	3.5	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (2.42)	3.48 ↑ (3.41)	1.77 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz
22%

Draw
26.3%

Ulm 1846
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

26.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

27.5%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz's form might have worsened.

Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulm 1846's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulm 1846, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Barockstadt Fulda Lehnerz - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barockstadt will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Ulm will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulm: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

Recent matches Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ulm is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ulm will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.11.22	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - FSV Frankfurt	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	VfB Stuttgart II - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Rot-Weiß Koblenz	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Astoria Walldorf - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	3:3 ✺
08.10.22	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Hoffenheim II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTTT
- Ulm 1846
German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.11.22	VfB Stuttgart II - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Ulm 1846 - Astoria Walldorf	1:0 ✺
21.10.22	Kickers Offenbach - Ulm 1846	3:1 ✺
15.10.22	Ulm 1846 - Hessen Kassel	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Homburg - Ulm 1846	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLWW

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