Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Old Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)


	Baroka		Black Leopards

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.82	2.78
	2.54	2.83	2.83
	2.58	3.14	2.58	Watch
	2.52	2.86	2.73
	2.5	2.8	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.58)	2.89 ↓ (3.14)	2.75 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baroka
35.8%

Draw
31.3%

Black Leopards
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baroka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Black Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Black Leopards than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Baroka - Black Leopards Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 1)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baroka won 4.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Baroka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Baroka won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:11. (average 1.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Baroka won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.1:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Black Leopards - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.44%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baroka FC
South African First Division
22.11.25	Leicesterford City - Baroka	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Baroka - Lerumo Lions	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Baroka - Cape Town City	3:1 ✺
28.10.25	Upington City - Baroka	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Hungry Lions - Baroka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWLL
- Black Leopards
South African First Division
21.11.25	Venda - Black Leopards	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Black Leopards - Cape Town City	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Black Leopards - Midlands Wanderers	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Milford - Black Leopards	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Black Leopards - Kruger United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
29.03.25	Black Leopards - Baroka	2:2
13.12.24	Baroka - Black Leopards	4:2
22.10.23	Baroka - Black Leopards	4:0
02.04.23	Baroka - Black Leopards	1:0
South African Premier Soccer League
20.02.21	Baroka - Black Leopards	2:1
27.10.20	Black Leopards - Baroka	1:3
South African Nedbank Cup
14.03.20	Baroka - Black Leopards	1:0

Baroka - Black Leopards: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide