Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: MOTSEPE FOUNDATION CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Baroka		La Masia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	4.6
	1.77	3.21	4.75
	1.78	3.21	4.75
	1.72	3.24	4.75
	1.76	3.35	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.67)	3.24 ↓ (3.47)	4.63 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baroka
52.2%

Draw
28.1%

La Masia
19.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.4%

26.1%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

24.8%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baroka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

La Masia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Masia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Baroka - La Masia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 12).

Baroka in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches La Masia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Baroka is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Baroka to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Baroka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Baroka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baroka FC
South African First Division
11.11.23	Orbit College - Baroka	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Baroka - Hungry Lions	2:0 ✺
31.10.23	Baroka - Milford	3:2 ✺
27.10.23	Marumo Gallants - Baroka	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Baroka - Black Leopards	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWTW
- NB La Masia
South African First Division
10.11.23	La Masia - Durban City	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Pretoria Callies - La Masia	0:0 ✺
31.10.23	La Masia - Orbit College	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Platinum City Rovers - La Masia	1:1 ✺
20.10.23	La Masia - Casric Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
04.03.23	Baroka - La Masia	1:1
12.11.22	La Masia - Baroka	4:2

Baroka - La Masia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Baroka - La Masia Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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