Match Info

Date: 12 April 2022, Tuesday


	Baroka		Orlando Pirates

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.1	1.8
	4.5	2.88	1.9
	4	3.15	1.88
	4.86	3.26	1.87
	4.2	3	1.88
	4	3.28	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↓ (4.84)	3.11 ↑ (2.85)	1.87 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baroka
21.3%

Draw
29.6%

Orlando Pirates
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

33.2%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

33.8%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baroka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.9%	24.1%	69%

Baroka - Orlando Pirates Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Baroka will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). Orlando Pirates will win (votes: 20 - 69%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando Pirates: 52.2% – 85.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Baroka has the most likely position - 16 (76.57%), has project points - 20, has currently - 13, has a good chance of relegated (88%), has not chance of qualify for ccl.

Orlando Pirates has the most likely position - 3 (36.49%), has project points - 49, has currently - 37, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ccl (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 12, small importance 26, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baroka won 0.

Recent matches Baroka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Orlando Pirates is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Orlando Pirates could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Orlando Pirates is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Baroka won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Baroka won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baroka FC
South African Nedbank Cup
09.04.22	Marumo Gallants - Baroka	1:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
06.04.22	Baroka - AmaZulu	0:1 ✺
03.04.22	Cape Town City - Baroka	5:1 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
13.03.22	TS Galaxy - Baroka	1:2 penalties ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
05.03.22	Baroka - TS Galaxy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLLWW
- Orlando Pirates
South African Premier Soccer League
06.04.22	Sekhukhune United - Orlando Pirates	0:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
03.04.22	Orlando Pirates - Al-Ittihad Tripoli	0:0 ✺
20.03.22	Saoura - Orlando Pirates	0:2 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
16.03.22	Orlando Pirates - Supersport United	3:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
13.03.22	Orlando Pirates - Royal Leopards	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
02.12.21	Orlando Pirates - Baroka	0:0
02.06.21	Baroka - Orlando Pirates	1:2
28.11.20	Orlando Pirates - Baroka	1:1
18.08.20	Orlando Pirates - Baroka	1:1
07.12.19	Baroka - Orlando Pirates	2:2
22.01.19	Orlando Pirates - Baroka	1:1
South African Knockout
08.12.18	Baroka - Orlando Pirates	3:2 penalties

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