Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 29

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Cape Town Stadium (Cape Town)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus
Kenya	Gotv
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
South-africa	SuperSport PSL


	Cape Town City		Baroka

	1	X	2
	1.16	5.5	14.5
	1.15	5.93	15.82
	1.17	5.55	16.95	Watch
	1.18	5	17
	1.14	5.7	16
	1.47	3.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.47)	5.2 ↑ (3.5)	14.28 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cape Town City
75.9%

Draw
17.7%

Baroka
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

24.8%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

23%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cape Town City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cape Town City's performance.

Baroka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baroka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cape Town City than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cape Town City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baroka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cape Town City - Baroka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Baroka is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cape Town City won 1.

Recent performances by Cape Town City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Baroka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Baroka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cape Town City is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cape Town City won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cape Town City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Cape Town City	5	2	2	1	6:4	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cape Town City
South African First Division
03.05.26	Cape Town City - Gomora United	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	The Bees - Cape Town City	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Kruger United - Cape Town City	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Cape Town City - Hungry Lions	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Upington City - Cape Town City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLTW
- Baroka FC
South African First Division
01.05.26	Casric Stars - Baroka	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Baroka - Kruger United	0:3 ✺
22.04.26	Baroka - Gomora United	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Lerumo Lions - Baroka	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Baroka - Leicesterford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
02.11.25	Baroka - Cape Town City	3:1
South African Premier Soccer League
03.04.22	Cape Town City - Baroka	5:1
11.12.21	Baroka - Cape Town City	0:0
03.04.21	Cape Town City - Baroka	0:0
31.01.21	Baroka - Cape Town City	1:1
05.01.20	Cape Town City - Baroka	1:0
03.08.19	Baroka - Cape Town City	2:2

Cape Town City - Baroka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide