Match Info

Liga FUTVE 2 - Round 33

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA


	Barquisimeto		Atlético El Vigía

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.40	3.55	Watch
	1.80	3.54	3.73
	2.05	3.11	3.59	Watch
	1.75	3.30	3.70
	1.88	4.08	3.67	Watch
	1.82	3.45	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.45)	3.48 ↓ (3.95)	3.63 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barquisimeto
49%

Draw
26.1%

Atlético El Vigía
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

23.3%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

22.4%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barquisimeto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barquisimeto's form might have worsened.

Atlético El Vigía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético El Vigía's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barquisimeto than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barquisimeto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético El Vigía than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético El Vigía, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 1 - 2, ⚽,
60', 1 - 3, ⚽,
78', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barquisimeto won 2.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

El Vigía could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Barquisimeto as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Barquisimeto has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:21 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Barquisimeto against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:8 goals (averaging 1.8:0.9 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barquisimeto SC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
30.09.26	Atlético Barinas - Barquisimeto	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Barquisimeto - Ureña	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Zamora 2 - Barquisimeto	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Barquisimeto - Puerto Cabello B	1:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
09.09.26	Barquisimeto - Caracas	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWTL
- Atlético El Vigía
Venezuelan Segunda Division
30.09.26	Atlético El Vigía - Zamora 2	4:3 ✺
25.09.26	Puerto Cabello B - Atlético El Vigía	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Atlético El Vigía - Real Fronteras	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Deportivo Lara - Atlético El Vigía	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Atlético El Vigía - Yaracuyanos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Segunda Division
20.05.26	Barquisimeto - Atlético El Vigía	5:0
13.09.25	Barquisimeto - Atlético El Vigía	1:0
03.08.25	Atlético El Vigía - Barquisimeto	1:1
07.06.25	Barquisimeto - Atlético El Vigía	1:1
20.04.25	Atlético El Vigía - Barquisimeto	3:0
20.10.24	Barquisimeto - Atlético El Vigía	2:1
16.06.24	Barquisimeto - Atlético El Vigía	1:1

Barquisimeto - Atlético El Vigía: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide