Match Info

Copa Santa Catarina - Round 8

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Barra Santa Catarina		Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.00	2.80
	2.33	2.98	2.78
	2.41	3.09	2.88
	2.25	2.9	2.7
	2.27	3.22	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.24)	3.04 ↓ (3.22)	2.79 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barra Santa Catarina
38.6%

Draw
29.4%

Santa Catarina
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

28.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Catarina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 3 - 0, ⚽,
87', 🟥,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 8th and 6th).

Recent results have been tough for Barra (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Santa Catarina has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Santa Catarina could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Barra has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Barra against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Santa Catarina	7	2	1	4	6:14	-8	7
7	Barra FC	7	1	4	2	13:13	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

Barra Santa Catarina - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.25%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
17.10.26	Hercílio Luz - Barra Santa Catarina	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Metropolitano	3:3 ✺
26.09.26	Joinville - Barra Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Nação	3:3 ✺
15.09.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Blumenau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTT
- Santa Catarina FC
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
17.10.26	Metropolitano - Santa Catarina	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Santa Catarina - Figueirense	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Nação - Santa Catarina	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Blumenau - Santa Catarina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
07.02.26	Santa Catarina - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1
31.01.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Catarina	1:1
23.01.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Catarina	2:2

Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Catarina