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Current Win Probability
Joinville 41.9%
Draw 29%
Barra Santa Catarina 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.2%
27.7%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barra Santa Catarina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Joinville - Barra Santa Catarina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
64', (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', 🟥,
90+6', 🟥,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 5th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Joinville won 1.
Performances by Barra have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Barra may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Joinville has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:8 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Joinville against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).