The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barra Santa Catarina U20 31.5%
Draw 28%
Criciúma U20 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.5%
28.1%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
28.8%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barra Santa Catarina U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barra Santa Catarina U20's form might have worsened.
Criciúma U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Criciúma U20's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina U20 than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barra Santa Catarina U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma U20 than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Criciúma U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barra U20 won 0.
Barra U20 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Criciúma U20 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Criciúma U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Barra U20 might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Barra U20 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Barra U20 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
Watch
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