Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 15

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Barreirense		Comércio e Indústria

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	2.85
	2.34	3.05	2.9
	2.3	3.14	2.89
	2.34	3.05	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.58)	3.05 ↓ (3.28)	2.89 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barreirense
39%

Draw
29.7%

Comércio e Indústria
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

27.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

27.7%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Comércio e Indústria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Comércio e Indústria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barreirense than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comércio e Indústria than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comércio e Indústria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barreirense - Comércio e Indústria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, ⚽,
17', 2 - 1, ⚽,
36', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 3 - 2, ⚽,
62', 3 - 3, ⚽,
65', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Barreirense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Comércio Indústria is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barreirense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barreirense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
12.01.25	Moura - Barreirense	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Moncarapachense - Barreirense	3:2 ✺
15.12.24	Barreirense - Amora	1:4 ✺
08.12.24	Barreirense - Estrela Vendas Novas	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Lagoa - Barreirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLWL
- Comércio e Indústria
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
12.01.25	Comércio e Indústria - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	Comércio e Indústria - Estrela Vendas Novas	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Comércio e Indústria	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Comércio e Indústria - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Lusitano GC - Comércio e Indústria	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
25.08.24	Comércio e Indústria - Barreirense	4:1

Barreirense - Comércio e Indústria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide