Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 18

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Barreirense		Elvas

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.8	2.8
	2.5	2.9	2.8
	2.4	2.87	2.8
	2.6	2.79	2.99
	2.45	2.92	2.89
	2.5	2.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.02)	2.86 ↓ (3)	2.86 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barreirense
36.5%

Draw
31.7%

Elvas
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

32.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barreirense's form might have worsened.

Elvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elvas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barreirense than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barreirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elvas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 7).

Barreirense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elvas in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barreirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Barreirense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barreirense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barreirense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
28.01.24	Barreirense - Sintrense	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Barreirense	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Barreirense - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Imortal - Barreirense	1:3 ✺
17.12.23	Serpa - Barreirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLTWW
- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
28.01.24	Elvas - Real SC	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Sintrense - Elvas	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Elvas - Louletano	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Elvas	0:3 ✺
16.12.23	Setúbal - Elvas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
01.10.23	Elvas - Barreirense	0:1

Barreirense - Elvas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide