PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 16
Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday
Serpa
Barreirense
1
X
2
1.5
3.7
5.5
1.57
3.79
5.34
1.59
3.63
5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.55 ↑ (1.29)
3.71 ↓ (4.73)
5.51 ↓ (8.6)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Serpa 58.8%
Draw 24.6%
Barreirense 16.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.3%
19.2%
10.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serpa's form might have worsened.
Barreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barreirense's recent form is better than expected.
Serpa - Barreirense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 🟥,
32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
81', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Lopes G. ⚽,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Serpa won 2.
Recent matches Serpa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Barreirense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Serpa is indisputable favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Serpa won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.2:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Serpa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
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