Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 14

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Imortal		Barreirense

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.8	2.3
	3	2.85	2.4
	3.21	2.84	2.46
	3.21	2.84	2.46
	3	2.9	2.3
	3.1	2.96	2.31
	3.15	2.8	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.85)	2.86 ↑ (2.74)	2.37 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imortal
29.4%

Draw
32%

Barreirense
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

34.7%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imortal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Barreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imortal than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barreirense than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barreirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Imortal has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barreirense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Imortal have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Imortal won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Imortal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imortal DC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
17.12.23	Imortal - Sintrense	0:2 ✺
10.12.23	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Imortal	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Imortal - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Imortal - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	Imortal - Elvas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- FC Barreirense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
17.12.23	Serpa - Barreirense	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Barreirense - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Real SC - Barreirense	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Barreirense - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Barreirense - Louletano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
20.08.23	Barreirense - Imortal	2:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.03.22	Imortal - Barreirense	0:0
12.12.21	Barreirense - Imortal	0:0

Imortal - Barreirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide