Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 21

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Barreirense		Estrela da Amadora B

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.85
	3.82	3.6	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (2.07)	3.43 ↑ (3.25)	1.84 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barreirense
24.4%

Draw
26.4%

Estrela da Amadora B
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barreirense's form might have worsened.

Estrela da Amadora B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estrela da Amadora B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barreirense than the current prediction. (+20.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barreirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora B than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estrela da Amadora B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barreirense - Estrela da Amadora B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 🟥,
45+2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Barreirense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Estrela B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barreirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Barreirense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barreirense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barreirense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
23.02.25	Operário - Barreirense	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Barreirense - Sintrense	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Lusitano GC - Barreirense	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Barreirense - Louletano	2:3 ✺
26.01.25	Serpa - Barreirense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLLL
- Estrela da Amadora B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
23.02.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Sintrense	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Louletano - Estrela da Amadora B	3:3 ✺
08.02.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Comércio e Indústria	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Moncarapachense - Estrela da Amadora B	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Estrela Vendas Novas	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
03.11.24	Estrela da Amadora B - Barreirense	2:0

Barreirense - Estrela da Amadora B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide