Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 17

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Moncarapachense		Estrela da Amadora B

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.82	3.2	4.2
	1.86	3.03	4.52
	1.92	3.21	4.04
	1.82	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.6)	3.15 ↓ (3.76)	4.19 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncarapachense
49.4%

Draw
28.9%

Estrela da Amadora B
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

24.1%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

23.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moncarapachense's form might have worsened.

Estrela da Amadora B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moncarapachense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora B than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Moncarapachense - Estrela da Amadora B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
26.01.25	Sintrense - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Moncarapachense - Louletano	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Comércio e Indústria - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	Moncarapachense - Barreirense	3:2 ✺
15.12.24	Estrela Vendas Novas - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW
- Estrela da Amadora B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
26.01.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Estrela Vendas Novas	4:1 ✺
19.01.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Estrela da Amadora B	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Operário	3:1 ✺
05.01.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Lusitano GC	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	Serpa - Estrela da Amadora B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.09.24	Estrela da Amadora B - Moncarapachense	0:1

Moncarapachense - Estrela da Amadora B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide