Match Info

League Two - Round 19

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Miller A. (Eng)


	Barrow		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.57	2.95	2.7	Watch
	2.52	3.25	2.72	Watch
	2.58	3.37	2.78
	2.62	3.25	2.62	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.7
	2.56	3.24	2.64	Watch
	2.54	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.57)	3.2 (3.2)	2.7 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
36.4%

Draw
29.1%

Tranmere Rovers
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

28.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	23.1%	30.8%

Barrow - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Tranmere will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrow: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrow (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tranmere (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tranmere (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrow (votes: 1 - 25%). Tranmere (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stanway W. (G) 4. Williams M. 6. Canavan N. (C) 5. Raglan C. 7. Jackson B. 14. McCann C. 34. Whitfield B. 21. Earing J. 29. Barkhuizen T. 23. Mahoney C. 25. Gordon J.	13. Murphy J. (G) 14. Joseph J. 2. Norman C. 5. Smith N. 3. Brough P. 23. Bristow E. 24. Blacker B. 6. Smallwood R. (C) 7. Whitaker C. 9. Dennis K. 29. Ironside J.
Substitutes
19. Adu Poku M. 18. Cameron I. 20. Fletcher I. 11. Newby E. 3. Shipley L. 31. Winterbottom B. (G)	12. Barrett J. (G) 10. Davison J. 25. Harris T. 18. Jennings C. 42. Kenneh N. 30. McGowan A. 4. Turnbull J.
Coaches
Whing A.	Crosby A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Williams M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', Gordon J. 🟨,
53', Canavan N. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Whitaker C. ⚽,
60', Bristow E. ↓, Turnbull J. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Ironside J. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Dennis K. 🟨,
74', Raglan C. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
75', Whitaker C. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
83', Mahoney C. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
84', Canavan N. 🟥,
84', McCann C. 🟨,
86', 0 - 3, Dennis K. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Brough P. ↓, McGowan A. ↑,
87', Ironside J. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
88', Smallwood R. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 18 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2.

Barrow is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tranmere is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tranmere may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tranmere has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Barrow - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.06%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Wigan Athletic - Barrow	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Newport County - Barrow	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Barrow - Cambridge United	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Bromley - Barrow	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Barrow - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLT
- Tranmere Rovers
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Tranmere Rovers - Fleetwood Town	0:3 ✺
English League Two
27.11.25	Grimsby Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Tranmere Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons	2:2 ✺
15.11.25	Tranmere Rovers - Cheltenham Town	3:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Tranmere Rovers - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Barrow - Tranmere Rovers	1:2
English League Two
21.04.25	Barrow - Tranmere Rovers	0:0
29.12.24	Tranmere Rovers - Barrow	1:1
06.01.24	Barrow - Tranmere Rovers	1:0
05.08.23	Tranmere Rovers - Barrow	1:2
29.12.22	Barrow - Tranmere Rovers	1:2
01.10.22	Tranmere Rovers - Barrow	1:0

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