The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tranmere Rovers 32.3%
Draw 26.7%
Milton Keynes Dons 41%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
26.4%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
25.9%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tranmere Rovers's form might have worsened.
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tranmere Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tranmere Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Murphy J. (G) 30. McGowan A. 5. Smith N. (C) 3. Brough P. 2. Norman C. 8. Finley S. 24. Blacker B. 14. Joseph J. 7. Whitaker C. 11. Patrick O. 29. Ironside J.
1. MacGillivray C. (G) 32. Sanders J. 21. Ekpiteta M. 15. Offord L. 16. Nemane A. 7. Crowley D. 6. Kelly L. 14. Tomlinson J. 18. Collar W. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 17. Leko J.
Substitutes
12. Barrett J. (G) 10. Davison J. 9. Dennis K. 25. Harris T. 18. Jennings C. 42. Kenneh N. 6. Smallwood R.
10. Collins A. 2. Jones G. 23. Maguire L. 22. Mellish J. 20. Thompson-Sommers K. 34. Tripp C. 27. Trueman C. (G)
Coaches
Crosby A.
Warne P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Leko J. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Whitaker C. ⚽, Joseph J. (A),
23', Finley S. 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Whitaker C. ⚽, McGowan A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Finley S. ↓, Smallwood R. ↑,
60', Ironside J. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
61', McGowan A. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
61', Nemane A. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
61', Tomlinson J. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
62', Collar W. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
67', Joseph J. 🟨,
73', Whitaker C. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
75', Ekpiteta M. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Mellish J. ⚽,
79', Leko J. 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, Thompson-Sommers K. ⚽,
88', Blacker B. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
90+1', Mellish J. 🟨,
90+5', Crowley D. ↓, Maguire L. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Tranmere: McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in MK Dons: Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Tranmere: Bristow E.
(Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Collins A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hogan S.
(Inactive)
Jones G.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lemonheigh-Evans C.
(Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Tranmere Rovers - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.43%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.12%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.