Match Info

League Two - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Eley R. (Eng)


	Barrow		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.3	2.2	Watch
	2.98	3.45	2.22	Watch
	3.11	3.52	2.27
	3.28	3.31	2.13	Watch
	3.03	3.34	2.28	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.28)	3.39 ↑ (3.31)	2.19 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
29.9%

Draw
27.6%

Grimsby Town
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

28.1%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

25.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Barrow - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrow (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stanway W. (G) 7. Jackson B. 5. Raglan C. (C) 3. Shipley L. 34. Whitfield B. 14. McCann C. 45. Harper R. 11. Newby E. 23. Mahoney C. 20. Fletcher I. 25. Gordon J.	1. Pym C. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 21. Warren T. 17. McJannet C. 15. Turi G. D. 11. Svanthorsson J. 8. Khouri E. 4. Green K. 30. Vernam C. 9. Kabia J. 32. Rose D. (C)
Substitutes
19. Adu Poku M. 6. Canavan N. 15. Hemmings K. 8. Smith S. 31. Winterbottom B. (G) 27. Worrall D.	14. Amaluzor J. 33. Casper C. (G) 12. Eccleston N. 19. Gilsenan Z. 29. Oduor C. 16. Staunton R. 7. Walker J.
Coaches
Whing A.	Artell D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Rose D. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Green K. ⚽, Rodgers H. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Harper R. ⚽, Whitfield B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fletcher I. ↓, Hemmings K. ↑,
46', Jackson B. ↓, Canavan N. ↑,
61', Hemmings K. 🟨,
67', Svanthorsson J. ↓, Eccleston N. ↑,
67', Mahoney C. ↓, Adu Poku M. ↑,
68', Gordon J. 🟨,
74', 2 - 2, McCann C. ⚽,
80', Green K. 🟨,
83', Rose D. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
83', Vernam C. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
83', Khouri E. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
90+4', Newby E. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3.

Barrow is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Grimsby has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barrow may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.

Grimsby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Barrow: Foley S. (Surgery) Healey R. (Knee Injury) Smith K. (Ankle Injury) Williams M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Barrow: Earing J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive) Sweeney J. (Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Spennymoor Town - Barrow	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
28.10.25	Barrow - Nottingham Forest U21	2:0 ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Barrow - Barnet	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Walsall - Barrow	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Oldham Athletic - Barrow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWTWT
- Grimsby Town
English EFL Trophy
04.11.25	Grimsby Town - Everton U21	5:3 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Grimsby Town - Ebbsfleet United	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
28.10.25	Grimsby Town - Brentford	0:5 ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Grimsby Town - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
25.01.25	Barrow - Grimsby Town	3:0
14.09.24	Grimsby Town - Barrow	1:2
29.03.24	Barrow - Grimsby Town	3:1
03.10.23	Grimsby Town - Barrow	2:1
18.04.23	Grimsby Town - Barrow	1:0
25.10.22	Barrow - Grimsby Town	1:0
23.03.21	Barrow - Grimsby Town	0:1

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