Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 7

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni (Posadas)


	Bartolomé Mitre		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	2.65
	2.12	3.15	3.2	Watch
				Watch
	2.19	2.91	3.35
	2.17	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.45)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	3.11 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bartolomé Mitre
41%

Draw
29.8%

Atlético de Rafaela
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

28.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bartolomé Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético de Rafaela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bartolomé Mitre than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Rafaela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bartolomé Mitre - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bartolomé Mitre (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Atlético Rafaela (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bartolomé Mitre (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Atlético Rafaela (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bachke G. (G) 4. Barrientos M. 2. Rodriguez R. 6. Medeiro E. 3. Roa M. 8. Esquivel L. 5. Caballero L. 10. Sarza K. 11. Valsangiacomo I. 7. Melgarejo G. 9. Estigarribia C.	1. Bilbao E. (G) 4. Stizza J. 2. Fernandez G. 6. Utrera N. 3. Ramirez R. 8. Capurro J. 5. Soloa F. 10. Affranchino F. 11. Pastorelli A. 7. Castro M. 9. Albertengo L.
Substitutes
17. Braure A. 18. Donato M. 16. Gimenez G. 14. Giraudo G. 15. Klyniauk E. 12. Lescano G. (G) 13. Martinez L.	18. Alfano A. 12. Bergia M. (G) 14. Jaime D. 16. Marchiori T. 13. Martinez M. 17. Ontivero L. 15. Torres G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Pastorelli A. 🟨,
23', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
38', Affranchino F. 🟨,
45+2', Esquivel L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Stizza J. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
46', Pastorelli A. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
62', Castro M. ↓, Alfano A. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Marchiori T. ⚽,
82', Albertengo L. ↓, Ontivero L. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Recent matches Bartolomé Mitre is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Rafaela is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bartolomé Mitre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bartolomé Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.04.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Crucero del Norte - Bartolomé Mitre	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLWW
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.04.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Boca Unidos	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Crucero del Norte - Atlético de Rafaela	3:2 ✺
22.03.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWLW

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