Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 18

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: 17 De Octubre (Formosa)


	General San Martín de Formosa		Bartolomé Mitre

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.10	4.10
	1.67	3.35	4.60
	1.83	2.99	4.34
	1.87	3.17	4.55	Watch
	1.80	2.95	4.25
	1.87	3.04	4.20
	1.62	3.43	5.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.58)	3.15 ↓ (3.5)	4.44 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General San Martín de Formosa
50.8%

Draw
28.8%

Bartolomé Mitre
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

25.6%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

24.6%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that General San Martín de Formosa's form might have worsened.

Bartolomé Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bartolomé Mitre than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

General San Martín de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Humeler K. (G) 11. Alegre G. 10. Aquino A. 5. Bobadilla M. 8. Calo L. 7. Ceratto L. 4. Finardi B. 3. Griego A. 6. Leguizamon M. 9. Monin F. 2. Piris O.	1. Bachke G. (G) 10. Arraya L. 4. Arregui L. 11. Caceres A. 3. Canzoniero L. 5. Comes M. A. 2. Espindola M. 8. Esquivel L. 9. Klusener A. 6. Rodriguez R. 7. Romero W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, Monin F. ⚽,
84', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

San Martín Formosa is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Winners stage )

Bartolomé Mitre is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Winners stage )

San Martín Formosa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bartolomé Mitre's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, San Martín Formosa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Martín Formosa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, San Martín Formosa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Sol de América de Formosa - General San Martín de Formosa	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:0 ✺
14.06.26	Boca Unidos - General San Martín de Formosa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLWL
- CA Bartolomé Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Defensores de Vilelas	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	Bartolomé Mitre - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0
01.06.25	Bartolomé Mitre - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1
30.03.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0

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