Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 5

Date: 26 August 2024, Monday


	Barwell		Hitchin Town

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	3.3
	1.9	3.75	3.25
	1.98	4.13	2.95
	1.93	4.08	3.09
	1.92	3.66	3.3
	1.9	3.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.82)	3.83 ↓ (3.98)	3.19 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
47.7%

Draw
23.8%

Hitchin Town
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

23.3%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

19.4%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Hitchin Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barwell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Barwell - Hitchin Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Master D. ⚽,
65', 2 - 0, McManus S. ⚽,
81', 3 - 0, Lita L. ⚽,
86', 4 - 0, McManus S. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barwell won 2.

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.

Barwell will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Barwell won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Barwell won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
24.08.24	Biggleswade Town - Barwell	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Barwell - Lowestoft Town	1:2 ✺
12.08.24	Barwell - Banbury United	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Royston Town - Barwell	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.24	Hinckley United - Barwell	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLLL
- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
24.08.24	Hitchin Town - Kettering Town	0:3 ✺
17.08.24	AFC Telford United - Hitchin Town	5:4 ✺
13.08.24	Stamford - Hitchin Town	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Hitchin Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.24	Hitchin Town - Barnet	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
03.02.24	Barwell - Hitchin Town	2:0
23.09.23	Hitchin Town - Barwell	0:0
20.02.23	Hitchin Town - Barwell	1:1
06.08.22	Barwell - Hitchin Town	1:2
27.11.21	Barwell - Hitchin Town	2:1
13.09.21	Hitchin Town - Barwell	3:2
30.11.19	Hitchin Town - Barwell	4:1

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