Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 11

Date: 15 December 2025, Monday


	Barwell		Banbury United

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.25
	3.07	3.22	2.23
	3.06	3.36	2.25	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.25
	2.86	3.65	2.24
	3.1	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.71)	3.24 ↓ (3.5)	2.24 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
30.8%

Draw
28.3%

Banbury United
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

26%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

25.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Banbury United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Barwell - Banbury United Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Banbury will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barwell (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Banbury (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Seaton J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Mancinelli P. 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 2.

Barwell is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Banbury is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Banbury has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.5:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Barwell won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Barwell - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 33.57%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Banbury United - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.43%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
13.12.25	Bishops Stortford - Barwell	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Bury Town - Barwell	4:0 ✺
29.11.25	Barwell - Harborough Town	1:1 ✺
26.11.25	Stourbridge - Barwell	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Royston Town - Barwell	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTTT
- Banbury United
English Southern League Central Division
13.12.25	Banbury United - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Redditch United - Banbury United	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Banbury United - Stamford	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Real Bedford - Banbury United	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Alvechurch - Banbury United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
21.12.24	Banbury United - Barwell	1:2
12.08.24	Barwell - Banbury United	0:1
09.04.22	Barwell - Banbury United	2:6
21.08.21	Banbury United - Barwell	3:2
01.01.20	Barwell - Banbury United	2:1
26.08.19	Banbury United - Barwell	2:1
05.01.19	Banbury United - Barwell	6:1

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