Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Barwell		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.5	2.05
	2.88	3.6	2.05
	3	3.72	2.06
	3.19	3.64	2.06	Watch
	3.03	3.4	2.11
	2.85	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.59)	3.58 ↑ (3.42)	2.06 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
30.6%

Draw
25.4%

Needham Market
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

26.4%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

26.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Needham Market's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Needham Market, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barwell - Needham Market Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barwell (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Neal J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, Waite T. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Needham will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Barwell won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
25.08.25	Quorn - Barwell	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Barwell - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Kettering Town - Barwell	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Halesowen Town - Barwell	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Barwell - St Ives Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLLW
- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
25.08.25	Needham Market - Leiston	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Needham Market	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Needham Market - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
12.08.25	Needham Market - Real Bedford	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Harborough Town - Needham Market	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
16.03.24	Needham Market - Barwell	2:1
02.12.23	Barwell - Needham Market	1:2
22.04.23	Barwell - Needham Market	2:0
04.04.23	Needham Market - Barwell	1:2
11.12.21	Barwell - Needham Market	2:3
02.10.21	Needham Market - Barwell	2:2
08.02.20	Barwell - Needham Market	1:0

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