Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Leioa		Eibar C

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.52	3.88	5.43
	1.54	3.9	5.53
	1.53	3.6	5.75
	1.48	3.84	6.04
	1.53	3.8	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.53)	3.8 (3.8)	5.63 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leioa
59.9%

Draw
23.9%

Eibar C
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

24%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

23.4%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Eibar C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Eibar C aligns with the current prediction.

Leioa - Eibar C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 13).

Leioa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Eibar C's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Leioa is a strong favorite.

We predict that Leioa will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Leioa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Leioa	5	2	3	0	12:6	6	9
13	Eibar C	5	1	2	2	8:8	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Leioa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.02.26	Añorga - Leioa	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Leioa - Durango	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Aretxabaleta - Leioa	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Leioa - Zamudio	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Santurtzi - Leioa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW
- SD Eibar C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
01.03.26	Eibar C - Zarautz KE	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Eibar C - Añorga	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Durango - Eibar C	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Eibar C - Aretxabaleta	4:2 ✺
01.02.26	Zamudio - Eibar C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
26.10.25	Eibar C - Leioa	0:1
10.05.25	Eibar C - Leioa	2:5
12.01.25	Leioa - Eibar C	3:0

Leioa - Eibar C: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide