Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Basconia		Náxara

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.15	3.3
	1.93	3.44	3.52
	2.97	2.88	2.45	Watch
	2.06	3.28	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.97)	3.19 ↑ (2.88)	3.18 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basconia
41.5%

Draw
29.2%

Náxara
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

31.8%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

30.4%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basconia's performance.

Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náxara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basconia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náxara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Basconia - Náxara Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Basconia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
58', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Basconia is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Náxara has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Basconia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Basconia could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Basconia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.10.25	Ejea - Basconia	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Basconia - Alavés B	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Amorebieta - Basconia	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Basconia - Zaragoza B	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Alfaro - Basconia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLT
- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.10.25	Náxara - Utebo	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Mutilvera - Náxara	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Náxara - Eibar B	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Sestao - Náxara	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Náxara - Gernika	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTTL

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