Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)


	Amorebieta		Basconia

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.4	3.6
	1.8	3.4	3.8
	1.81	3.56	4.13
	1.84	3.47	4.02	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.94
	1.82	3.55	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)	3.48 ↓ (3.5)	3.84 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
50%

Draw
26.2%

Basconia
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

25.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Amorebieta - Basconia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Amorebieta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Amorebieta (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Amorebieta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Torrico A. ⚽,
63', 1 - 1, Oyono I. ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, Arzalluz M. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Basconia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Amorebieta is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.09.25	SD Logroñés - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Amorebieta - Beasain	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ebro - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Zamora - Amorebieta	4:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.09.25	Amorebieta - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWTLL
- CD Basconia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.09.25	Basconia - Zaragoza B	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Alfaro - Basconia	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Basconia - SD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Utebo - Basconia	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Rayo Cantabria - Basconia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LTTTT

Upcoming Matches