Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday


	Basconia		Santutxu

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4
	1.73	3.1	3.95
	1.72	3.2	4.2
	1.75	3.25	4.28
	1.78	3.36	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2)	3.22 ↑ (2.89)	4.17 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basconia
50.9%

Draw
27.7%

Santutxu
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

22.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basconia's performance.

Santutxu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santutxu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basconia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santutxu than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Basconia - Santutxu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 13).

Basconia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santutxu is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Basconia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Basconia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Basconia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Basconia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
13.11.21	Deusto - Basconia	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	Basconia - Lagun Onak	3:1 ✺
30.10.21	Vitoria - Basconia	0:2 ✺
24.10.21	Basconia - Amurrio	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Pasaia - Basconia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWTW
- Santutxu FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.11.21	Santutxu - Beti Gazte	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Portugalete - Santutxu	2:1 ✺
30.10.21	Santutxu - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Alavés B - Santutxu	2:2 ✺
17.10.21	Santutxu - Beasain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.05.21	Santutxu - Basconia	0:0
18.04.21	Basconia - Santutxu	0:1
02.02.20	Basconia - Santutxu	3:0
15.09.19	Santutxu - Basconia	1:0
10.02.19	Santutxu - Basconia	0:1
22.09.18	Basconia - Santutxu	0:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
11.03.18	Santutxu - Basconia	0:2

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