Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	Portugalete		Santutxu

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.33
	1.64	3.25	4.35
	1.65	3.25	4.7
	1.65	3.3	4.6
	1.68	3.5	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.69)	3.36 ↓ (3.6)	4.57 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugalete
53.9%

Draw
26.6%

Santutxu
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

20.2%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Santutxu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portugalete, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santutxu than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Portugalete - Santutxu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 11).

Portugalete is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Santutxu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Portugalete is a favorite.

Recent matches Santutxu is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portugalete won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Portugalete won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
30.10.21	Deusto - Portugalete	2:2 ✺
24.10.21	Portugalete - Lagun Onak	2:1 ✺
17.10.21	Vitoria - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
12.10.21	Portugalete - Amurrio	1:0 ✺
09.10.21	Pasaia - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTWW
- Santutxu FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
30.10.21	Santutxu - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Alavés B - Santutxu	2:2 ✺
17.10.21	Santutxu - Beasain	0:2 ✺
12.10.21	Santutxu - Barakaldo	1:2 ✺
09.10.21	Deusto - Santutxu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.12.19	Portugalete - Santutxu	1:1
18.05.19	Santutxu - Portugalete	2:0
05.01.19	Portugalete - Santutxu	5:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.03.18	Santutxu - Portugalete	2:3
01.11.17	Portugalete - Santutxu	3:0

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