Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: St. Jakob-Park (Basel)

Referee: Xhaja J. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 10
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 7
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 10
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Basel		FCSB

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6
	1.52	4.75	6
	1.51	4.63	6.22
	1.58	4.20	5.37	Watch
	1.54	4.71	6.44
	1.55	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)	4.5 ↑ (4.2)	5.92 ↑ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel
62.5%

Draw
21.3%

FCSB
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.5%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.3%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

FCSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	10.6%	6.1%

Basel - FCSB Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Basel (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - FCSB (3.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Basel will win (55 of 66 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.34% – 92.32%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Basel will win (26 of 26 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Basel (votes: 27 - 96.4%). FCSB (votes: 1 - 3.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hitz M. (G) 3. Vouilloz N. 26. Barisic A. 24. Daniliuc F. 29. Cisse M. 5. Metinho 22. Leroy L. 11. Traore B. 10. Shaqiri X. (C) 19. Soticek M. 17. Broschinski M.	32. Tarnovanu S. (G) 28. Pantea A. 30. Ngezana S. 4. Graovac D. 33. Radunovic R. 10. Tanase F. 8. Sut A. 11. Miculescu D. 27. Olaru D. (C) 93. Thiam M. 9. Birligea D.
Substitutes
32. Adjetey J. 9. Agbonifo J. 14. Bacanin A. 39. Junior Ze 46. Kaio Eduardo 8. Koindredi K. 7. Otele P. 47. Pfeiffer T. (G) 27. Ruegg K. 21. Salah I. 13. Salvi M. (G) 25. van Breemen F.	42. Alhassan B. 7. Alibec D. 31. Cisotti J. 18. Edjouma M. 12. Kiki D. 16. Lixandru M. 20. Politic D. 37. Popescu O. 34. Udrea M. (G) 38. Zima L. (G)
Coaches
Magnin L.	Charalambous E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Barisic A. 🟨,
12', Tarnovanu S. 🟥,
15', Thiam M. ↓, Zima L. ↑,
19', 1 - 0, Shaqiri X. (Pen),
45', Leroy L. 🟨,
45+6', Pantea A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sut A. ↓, Edjouma M. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Olaru D. ⚽, Pantea A. (A),
62', Soticek M. ↓, Otele P. ↑,
62', Leroy L. ↓, Koindredi K. ↑,
63', Birligea D. 🟨,
68', Olaru D. 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, Shaqiri X. ⚽,
75', Tanase F. ↓, Lixandru M. ↑,
75', Olaru D. ↓, Cisotti J. ↑,
77', Vouilloz N. ↓, Ruegg K. ↑,
77', Traore B. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
85', Miculescu D. ↓, Politic D. ↑,
87', Broschinski M. ↓, Bacanin A. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Salah I. ⚽, Shaqiri X. (A),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Basel is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Basel: Tsunemoto K. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in FCSB: Cercel I. (Inactive) Chiriches V. (Injury) Cretu V. (Foot Injury) Dawa J. (Knee Injury) Popescu M. (Injury) Stoian A. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
02.11.25	Young Boys - Basel	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Basel - Zürich	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Lausanne-Sport - Basel	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Lyon - Basel	2:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
18.10.25	Basel - Winterthur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLLW
- FCSB
Romanian SuperLiga
01.11.25	Universitatea Cluj - FCSB	0:2 ✺
Romanian Cup
29.10.25	Gloria Bistrița - FCSB	1:3 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
26.10.25	FCSB - UTA Arad	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	FCSB - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
18.10.25	Metaloglobus Bucureşti - FCSB	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.01.20	Basel - FCSB	1:0
UEFA Champions League
06.11.13	Basel - FCSB	1:1
22.10.13	FCSB - Basel	1:1
Club Friendly
18.01.13	Basel - FCSB	1:1
23.06.12	FCSB - Basel	N/A

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