Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Basel II		Lausanne II

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.05	4.15
	1.65	4.23	4.32
	1.73	4.08	3.98	Watch
	1.63	4	4.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.57)	4.09 ↓ (4.21)	4.18 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel II
55.6%

Draw
22.5%

Lausanne II
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

21.6%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

20.4%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Lausanne II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel II than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basel II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne II than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Basel II - Lausanne II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Sow C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Kaio Eduardo ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, Renovales O. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).

Recent performances by Basel II have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lausanne II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Basel II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Basel II has had a series of home games.

In this match, Basel II is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basel II
Swiss Promotion League
28.09.25	Basel II - Lugano II	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Basel II - Biel-Bienne	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Basel II - Bavois	1:4 ✺
06.09.25	Young Boys II - Basel II	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Basel II - Paradiso	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLTW
- Lausanne-Sport II
Swiss Promotion League
04.10.25	Lausanne II - Bulle	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Zurich II - Lausanne II	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Lausanne II - Vevey	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Lausanne II - Luzern II	2:6 ✺
13.09.25	Brühl - Lausanne II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLWLL

Basel II - Lausanne II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide