Match Info
Promotion LeagueDate: 28 September 2025, Sunday
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 |
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Basel II |
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Lugano II |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.72 |
3.85 |
3.6 |
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 |
1.72 |
4.13 |
4.01 |
|
 |
1.78 |
3.84 |
3.61 |
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 |
2.13 |
3.64 |
2.82 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(2.12) |
3.87 ↑
(3.62) |
3.51 ↑
(2.8) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Basel II
50% | Draw
23.8% | Lugano II
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basel II's performance.Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel II than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basel II that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Basel II - Lugano II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Koloto G. ⚽,
- 23', 2 - 0, Gamba N. (Own goal),
- 27', 2 - 1, Pihlstrom E. ⚽,
- 29', 3 - 1, Kanoute M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 67', 3 - 2, Pihlstrom E. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10).The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Lugano II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Basel II could have a small edge in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Basel II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Basel II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Swiss Promotion League | | | 19.04.25 | Basel II - Lugano II | 0:2 | | 19.10.24 | Lugano II - Basel II | 1:2 | | 11.05.24 | Lugano II - Basel II | 2:4 | | 04.11.23 | Basel II - Lugano II | 3:0 |
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