The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Basel II 46.1%
Draw 24.6%
Bavois 29.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.5%
22.4%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
21.5%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Bavois has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bavois than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Basel II - Bavois Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Avdic E. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
75', 1 - 1, Uruejoma M. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Bauer J. ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, Hansal Y. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel II won 1.
Basel II has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bavois is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Basel II holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Basel II has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:23 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Basel II against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 12:12 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).