Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Evesham United		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.5	2.58
	2.44	3.68	2.53	Watch
	2.31	3.48	2.55
	2.3	3.66	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.44)	3.58 ↓ (3.68)	2.57 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evesham United
39.1%

Draw
25.5%

Dorchester Town
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

25.2%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

24.6%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Evesham United - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Foye O. ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, Parker J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
65', 2 - 1, Patterson E. ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, Steele L. ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, Steele L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Evesham is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Dorchester has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
18.11.25	Hungerford Town - Evesham United	3:3 ✺
15.11.25	Chertsey Town - Evesham United	4:0 ✺
08.11.25	Evesham United - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Plymouth Parkway - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Evesham United - Uxbridge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
18.11.25	Dorchester Town - Plymouth Parkway	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Dover Athletic - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
08.11.25	Dorchester Town - Chertsey Town	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.25	Basingstoke Town - Dorchester Town	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLTTW

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