Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Evesham United		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.40	2.30
	2.55	3.30	2.32
	2.74	3.36	2.33
	2.75	3.56	2.35	Watch
	2.70	3.30	2.30
	2.62	3.34	2.27
	2.60	3.40	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.67)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	2.32 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evesham United
34.2%

Draw
26.8%

Taunton Town
39%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.6%

26.4%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

26.1%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Evesham United - Taunton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Murray J. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Obieri S. ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, Seymour B. ⚽,
37', 1 - 3, Moulden A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 1 - 4, Davies M. ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 13th and 12th).

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Taunton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Evesham has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:0 (averaging 1.5:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Evesham against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Taunton	12	6	1	5	32:25	7	19
18	Evesham	13	4	1	8	15:26	-11	13

Last Results with these Odds

Taunton Town - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.97%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
13.10.26	Evesham United - Bath City	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Uxbridge - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Poole Town - Evesham United	3:1 ✺
29.09.26	Evesham United - Chippenham Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Redditch United - Evesham United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
10.10.26	Taunton Town - Hanwell Town	1:2 ✺
30.09.26	Frome Town - Taunton Town	2:2 ✺
22.09.26	Taunton Town - Bath City	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Gosport Borough - Taunton Town	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Yate Town - Taunton Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
25.04.26	Taunton Town - Evesham United	0:0
13.12.25	Evesham United - Taunton Town	3:0

Evesham United - Taunton Town