Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Basingstoke Town		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.65
	2.15	3.7	2.68
	2.19	3.85	2.71
	2.18	3.54	2.8
	2.28	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.26)	3.6 ↑ (3.3)	2.73 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basingstoke Town
41.5%

Draw
25.2%

Hungerford Town
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.6%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

28.5%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Basingstoke Town - Hungerford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, McGrory L. (Pen),
6', 1 - 1, Wilson ⚽,
6', 1 - 2, Williams H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basingstoke won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Basingstoke won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
25.08.25	Bracknell Town - Basingstoke Town	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Basingstoke Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Taunton Town - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
12.08.25	Evesham United - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Basingstoke Town - Wimborne Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTTTW
- Hungerford Town
English Southern League South Division
25.08.25	Hungerford Town - Yate Town	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Hungerford Town	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Hungerford Town - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Hungerford Town - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Farnham Town - Hungerford Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
15.02.25	Hungerford Town - Basingstoke Town	2:1
22.10.24	Basingstoke Town - Hungerford Town	1:1
27.04.24	Hungerford Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0
05.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Hungerford Town	2:2
English FA Cup
17.09.16	Basingstoke Town - Hungerford Town	0:1

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