Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Basingstoke Town		Plymouth Parkway

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.50	2.05
	2.85	3.45	2.05
	2.81	3.66	2.16
	2.93	3.85	2.13	Watch
	2.75	3.60	2.13
	2.85	3.55	2.10
	2.85	3.55	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (2.99)	3.59 ↓ (3.68)	2.1 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basingstoke Town
31.8%

Draw
25.1%

Plymouth Parkway
43.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

24.6%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

24.3%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Basingstoke Town - Plymouth Parkway Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Armsworth S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, O'Loughlin J. ⚽,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 17th and 5th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basingstoke won 2.

Basingstoke has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Plymouth Parkway is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Plymouth Parkway may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Plymouth Parkway holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Basingstoke has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Basingstoke against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 0.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Plymouth Parkway	13	8	2	3	27:14	13	26
13	Basingstoke	14	4	3	7	21:27	-6	15

Last Results with these Odds

Basingstoke Town - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.22%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
13.10.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	4:1 ✺
10.10.26	Basingstoke Town - Malvern Town	4:1 ✺
29.09.26	Uxbridge - Basingstoke Town	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Basingstoke Town - Gosport Borough	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Gloucester City - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLTT
- Plymouth Parkway
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Plymouth Parkway - Chertsey Town	2:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
13.10.26	Plymouth Parkway - Wimborne Town	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Chichester City - Plymouth Parkway	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Plymouth Parkway - Horsham	2:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
29.09.26	Gloucester City - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
03.04.26	Plymouth Parkway - Basingstoke Town	3:0
23.08.25	Basingstoke Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:1
04.01.25	Basingstoke Town - Plymouth Parkway	0:1
10.08.24	Plymouth Parkway - Basingstoke Town	1:3
24.02.24	Basingstoke Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:0
21.10.23	Plymouth Parkway - Basingstoke Town	1:1

Basingstoke Town - Plymouth Parkway