Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Basingstoke Town		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.35	2.82
	2.15	3.47	3.03
	2.18	3.65	2.97	Watch
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.12	3.38	2.99
	2.16	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.23)	3.39 ↓ (3.83)	2.95 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basingstoke Town
42.3%

Draw
26.9%

Weymouth
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

24.2%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

23.4%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Basingstoke Town - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', 1 - 0, Gallagher R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Goodship B. ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, Goodship B. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basingstoke won 2.

Basingstoke is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Weymouth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Basingstoke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Basingstoke won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Basingstoke won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 2:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Basingstoke	14	4	3	7	21:27	-6	15

Last Results with these Odds

Basingstoke Town - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.63%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
17.01.26	Berkhamsted - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Wimborne Town - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
06.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Hanwell Town	3:2 ✺
03.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Bracknell Town	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Sholing - Basingstoke Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LTWWW
- Weymouth
English Southern League South Division
17.01.26	Weymouth - Walton & Hersham	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Evesham United - Weymouth	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Weymouth - Wimborne Town	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Dorchester Town - Weymouth	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Weymouth - Plymouth Parkway	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
15.11.25	Weymouth - Basingstoke Town	1:2
02.02.19	Weymouth - Basingstoke Town	1:2
03.11.18	Basingstoke Town - Weymouth	1:2
English Southern Premier League
28.11.17	Basingstoke Town - Weymouth	3:3
26.09.17	Weymouth - Basingstoke Town	3:2
04.02.17	Basingstoke Town - Weymouth	1:6
11.10.16	Weymouth - Basingstoke Town	3:0

Basingstoke Town - Weymouth