Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 26

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Evesham United		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.6	3.45
	2.17	3.69	2.95	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.7
	2.03	3.52	3.08
	2.25	3.33	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.97)	3.49 ↓ (3.87)	3.02 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evesham United
43.6%

Draw
26.2%

Weymouth
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

24%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

23.2%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evesham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Evesham United - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 0, Middleton L. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 18).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Evesham might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Evesham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Evesham	9	4	1	4	14:17	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Weymouth - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 28.78%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
03.01.26	Gloucester City - Evesham United	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Evesham United - Yate Town	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Basingstoke Town - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Evesham United - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Gosport Borough - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLWL
- Weymouth
English Southern League South Division
03.01.26	Weymouth - Wimborne Town	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Dorchester Town - Weymouth	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Weymouth - Plymouth Parkway	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Weymouth - Berkhamsted	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Chertsey Town - Weymouth	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.08.25	Weymouth - Evesham United	1:3

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