Match Info

Date: 23 April 2021, Friday


	Bastia-Borgo		Quevilly

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.95	2.6
	2.75	3	2.55
	2.88	3.15	2.71
	2.75	2.9	2.6
	2.68	3.18	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.92)	3.04 ↑ (2.88)	2.61 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia-Borgo
33.9%

Draw
30.5%

Quevilly
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

32.1%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

22.7%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia-Borgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Quevilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia-Borgo than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bastia-Borgo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quevilly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	35.7%	42.9%

Bastia Borgo - Quevilly Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Bastia-Borgo will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). Quevilly will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Quevilly: 24.6% – 61.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion to Ligue 2).

Bastia-Borgo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Quevilly is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bastia-Borgo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia-Borgo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bastia-Borgo
French Ligue 3
17.04.21	Concarneau - Bastia-Borgo	3:1 ✺
09.04.21	Bastia-Borgo - Annecy	0:0 ✺
02.04.21	Sète 34 - Bastia-Borgo	2:2 ✺
26.03.21	Bastia-Borgo - Cholet	0:0 ✺
19.03.21	Villefranche - Bastia-Borgo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTTL
- US Quevilly
French Ligue 3
19.04.21	Quevilly - Annecy	1:1 ✺
09.04.21	Cholet - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
02.04.21	Quevilly - Lyon La Duchère	3:1 ✺
27.03.21	Stade Briochin - Quevilly	1:1 ✺
19.03.21	Quevilly - Avranches	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
04.12.20	Quevilly - Bastia-Borgo	4:0
27.09.19	Bastia-Borgo - Quevilly	3:2

Bastia-Borgo - Quevilly: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide