Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 28

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Armand Chouffet (Villefranche-sur-Saône) 🌤️ ...


	Villefranche		Bastia-Borgo

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.25
	1.5	3.7	5.75
	1.55	3.9	6.76
	1.52	3.6	5.8
	1.53	3.98	5.85	Watch
	1.54	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.47)	3.76 ↑ (3.6)	5.8 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villefranche
59.9%

Draw
24.4%

Bastia-Borgo
15.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.2%

25%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

21.8%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villefranche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Bastia-Borgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villefranche that the model has picked up on.

The ML Model estimate for Bastia-Borgo aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Villefranche - Bastia Borgo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Villefranche will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Bastia-Borgo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villefranche won 4.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Villefranche is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Villefranche won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Villefranche won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
01.04.23	Nancy - Villefranche	3:2 ✺
24.03.23	Villefranche - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
17.03.23	Dunkerque - Villefranche	3:2 ✺
10.03.23	Villefranche - Orleans	1:2 ✺
03.03.23	Bourg-Péronnas - Villefranche	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLLW
- FC Bastia-Borgo
French Ligue 3
31.03.23	Bastia-Borgo - Stade Briochin	2:3 ✺
24.03.23	Châteauroux - Bastia-Borgo	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Bastia-Borgo - Cholet	1:2 ✺
13.03.23	Versailles - Bastia-Borgo	1:0 ✺
03.03.23	Le Mans - Bastia-Borgo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
11.11.22	Bastia-Borgo - Villefranche	2:3
25.03.22	Bastia-Borgo - Villefranche	1:3
22.10.21	Villefranche - Bastia-Borgo	1:1
19.03.21	Villefranche - Bastia-Borgo	1:0
13.10.20	Bastia-Borgo - Villefranche	0:1
13.12.19	Villefranche - Bastia-Borgo	4:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
31.10.26	Orleans - Villefranche	✺

Villefranche - Bastia-Borgo