Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Paul-Antoniotti (Borgo)


	Bastia-Borgo		Versailles

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.2	1.8
	4	3.25	1.8
	3.85	3.35	1.88
	4.58	3.43	1.86
	4.2	3.2	1.8
	4.2	3.44	1.79	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (2.73)	3.32 ↑ (2.95)	1.83 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia-Borgo
22.4%

Draw
27.6%

Versailles
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

30.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

32.3%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia-Borgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bastia-Borgo's form might have worsened.

Versailles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Versailles's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia-Borgo than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia-Borgo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Versailles than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Versailles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	26.3%	52.6%

Bastia Borgo - Versailles Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Bastia-Borgo will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Versailles will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Versailles: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Bastia-Borgo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Versailles is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Versailles is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bastia-Borgo
French Ligue 3
23.09.22	Bastia-Borgo - Le Mans	2:2 ✺
16.09.22	Nancy - Bastia-Borgo	1:0 ✺
09.09.22	Bastia-Borgo - Concarneau	2:4 ✺
02.09.22	Dunkerque - Bastia-Borgo	2:0 ✺
26.08.22	Bastia-Borgo - Orleans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- FC Versailles 78
French Ligue 3
23.09.22	Versailles - Nancy	2:2 ✺
19.09.22	Concarneau - Versailles	4:1 ✺
09.09.22	Versailles - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
02.09.22	Orleans - Versailles	1:1 ✺
26.08.22	Versailles - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLWTW

Bastia-Borgo - Versailles: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide