Match Info

Date: 16 September 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Picot (Nancy)


	Nancy		Bastia-Borgo

	1	X	2
	1.41	4	6.25
	1.41	3.9	6.75
	1.4	4.3	7
	1.4	4.42	8.86
	1.38	4	7.5
	1.39	4.4	7.1	Watch
	1.41	4.3	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.83)	4.19 ↑ (3.2)	7.21 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nancy
65.4%

Draw
21.9%

Bastia-Borgo
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.2%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

27.3%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nancy's performance.

Bastia-Borgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bastia-Borgo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nancy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia-Borgo than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bastia-Borgo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	18.7%	12.5%

Nancy - Bastia Borgo Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Bastia-Borgo will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nancy: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Nancy is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bastia-Borgo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Nancy is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 3
09.09.22	Nancy - Le Mans	2:0 ✺
02.09.22	Concarneau - Nancy	1:2 ✺
26.08.22	Nancy - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
19.08.22	Orleans - Nancy	0:0 ✺
15.08.22	Nancy - Bourg-Péronnas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLTL
- FC Bastia-Borgo
French Ligue 3
09.09.22	Bastia-Borgo - Concarneau	2:4 ✺
02.09.22	Dunkerque - Bastia-Borgo	2:0 ✺
26.08.22	Bastia-Borgo - Orleans	0:2 ✺
19.08.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Bastia-Borgo	1:1 ✺
12.08.22	Bastia-Borgo - Le Puy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLTW

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