Match Info

National League South - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2
	2.98	3.3	2.2
	2.92	3.51	2.27
	5.82	4.28	1.49	Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.8
	3.13	3.28	2.18
	3.95	3.45	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (4.22)	3.5 ↓ (3.54)	1.96 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
25.5%

Draw
26.7%

Dorking Wanderers
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

26.1%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

24.6%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Bath City - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Lewis D. ⚽,
36', Wiles-Richards H. 🟥,
38', 0 - 2, Prior J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 2, Clark E. ⚽,
90+5', Horsell M. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bath won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Dorking is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bath won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bath won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
25.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Bath City	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Bath City - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Salisbury - Bath City	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Bath City - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Worthing - Bath City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWWLT
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
25.08.25	Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dorking Wanderers	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Dorking Wanderers - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Dorking Wanderers - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Chippenham Town - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
12.04.25	Bath City - Dorking Wanderers	2:2
04.01.25	Dorking Wanderers - Bath City	1:0
12.02.22	Bath City - Dorking Wanderers	0:2
09.10.21	Dorking Wanderers - Bath City	4:1
05.12.20	Dorking Wanderers - Bath City	1:2
19.07.20	Bath City - Dorking Wanderers	1:2
01.02.20	Dorking Wanderers - Bath City	0:0

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