Match Info

National League South - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)


	Ebbsfleet United		Bath City

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.3
	2.05	3.35	3.3
	2.09	3.55	3.29
	2.21	3.21	3.22	Watch
	2	3.25	3.6
	2.15	3.33	3.28
	1.82	3.38	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.83)	3.35 ↓ (3.6)	3.38 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
45.3%

Draw
27.4%

Bath City
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

25.5%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

25%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ebbsfleet United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Ebbsfleet United - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Wilson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 1, Samuel D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 4.

Ebbsfleet is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Bath has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ebbsfleet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ebbsfleet won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
23.08.25	Slough Town - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chippenham Town	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Ebbsfleet United	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Dartford - Ebbsfleet United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWWT
- Bath City
English National League South
23.08.25	Bath City - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Salisbury - Bath City	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Bath City - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Worthing - Bath City	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Bath City - Yeovil Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
11.02.23	Bath City - Ebbsfleet United	1:3
03.09.22	Ebbsfleet United - Bath City	3:1
05.03.22	Bath City - Ebbsfleet United	0:2
18.12.21	Ebbsfleet United - Bath City	3:0
06.02.21	Bath City - Ebbsfleet United	Canceled
25.02.17	Bath City - Ebbsfleet United	0:1
29.10.16	Ebbsfleet United - Bath City	1:0

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