Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Hartley Wintney

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.5	7.25
	1.27	5.4	7.4
	1.32	5.8	7.24
	1.4	4.8	5
	1.25	5.65	8.2	Watch
	1.28	5.4	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)	5.43 ↑ (4.9)	7.08 ↑ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
70.3%

Draw
16.8%

Hartley Wintney
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

18.4%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

17.3%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Hartley Wintney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Bath City - Hartley Wintney Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Bath is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hartley Wintney is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bath could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bath is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bath to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
13.09.22	Bath City - Weymouth	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Ebbsfleet United - Bath City	3:1 ✺
29.08.22	Bath City - Slough Town	5:1 ✺
27.08.22	Farnborough - Bath City	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Bath City - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW
- Hartley Wintney
English Southern League South Division
29.08.22	Hartley Wintney - Bracknell Town	1:2 ✺
27.08.22	Dorchester Town - Hartley Wintney	4:2 ✺
20.08.22	Hartley Wintney - Hayes & Yeading United	0:0 ✺
16.08.22	Salisbury - Hartley Wintney	1:3 ✺
13.08.22	Chesham United - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLTWL

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