Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 28

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.25	3.3	3	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.02
	2.28	3.21	3.26
	2	3.4	3.1
	2.21	3.24	3.15
	2.19	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)	3.24 ↑ (3.12)	3.07 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
41.9%

Draw
28.2%

Braintree Town
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30.1%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

32.4%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braintree Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bath City - Braintree Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bath will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bath won 2.

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Recently Bath have a series of home games.

Bath will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bath won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Bath won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
24.02.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Bath City	1:1 ✺
20.02.24	Bath City - Truro City	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Bath City - St Albans City	3:1 ✺
10.02.24	Bath City - Dartford	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Bath City - Eastbourne Borough	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWWW
- Braintree Town
English National League South
24.02.24	Worthing - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
20.02.24	Braintree Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Braintree Town - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Chippenham Town - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	Braintree Town - Dover Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
07.10.23	Braintree Town - Bath City	1:1
21.01.23	Braintree Town - Bath City	2:1
20.08.22	Bath City - Braintree Town	3:1
29.01.22	Bath City - Braintree Town	0:0
11.09.21	Braintree Town - Bath City	1:3
29.02.20	Braintree Town - Bath City	2:0
03.08.19	Bath City - Braintree Town	2:0

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